PROC COPULA produces displayed output described in the following sections.
If you specify the ITPRINT option in the PROC COPULA statement, PROC COPULA displays two tables, “Optimization Start Parameter Estimates” and “Optimization Results Parameter Estimates.” Each table contains the following information for each model parameter:
parameter number
parameter name
parameter estimate
gradient of the objective function at the initial parameter values
In addition to this information, the table “Optimization Start Parameter Estimates” contains the following columns:
lower-bound constraint
upper-bound constraint
The value of the objective function at the parameter values is displayed below each table.
If you specify the ITPRINT option in the PROC COPULA statement, PROC COPULA displays a table that contains the following information for each iteration. Note that some information is specific to the model-fitting method chosen (for example, Newton-Raphson, trust region, or quasi-Newton method).
iteration number
number of restarts since the fitting began
number of function calls
number of active constraints at the current solution
value of the objective function (–1 times the log-likelihood value) at the current solution
change in the objective function from previous iteration
value of the maximum absolute gradient element
step size (for Newton-Raphson and quasi-Newton methods)
slope of the current search direction (for Newton-Raphson and quasi-Newton methods)
lambda (for trust region method)
radius value at current iteration (for trust region method)
The “Model Fit Summary” table contains the following information:
number of observations used
number of missing values in data set, if any
data set name
type of model that was fit
log-likelihood value at solution
maximum absolute gradient at solution
number of iterations
optimization method
value of Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) at the solution (a smaller value indicates better fit)
value of Schwarz-Bayesian criterion (SBC) at the solution (a smaller value indicates better fit)
Under the “Model Fit Summary” is a statement about whether the algorithm successfully converged.
The “Parameter Estimates” table contains the estimates of the model parameters. For the normal copula, this table is not displayed because the only parameters are in the correlation matrix, which is displayed in the “Correlation Matrix” table. For the copula, the parameter is the number of degrees of freedom; in the table it is called “DF.” For Archimedean copulas such as Clayton, Frank, and Gumbel, the parameter is called “theta.”
The “Correlation Matrix” table contains the estimates of the model correlation matrix. This table is displayed only for elliptical copulas such as the normal and copulas. Row and column names come from the list of variables defined in VAR statement.