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Problem Note 43799: PREDICT variable in OUTFOR= data set might be incorrectly set to missing when an ARIMA model with a stochastic input variable is specified

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In PROC HPFENGINE, the procedure should extend the predictor series through the end of the LEAD= forecast horizon for the dependent variable when an ARIMA model with a stochastic predictor is specified and the predictor series is shorter than the dependent series

In some cases, these forecasts of the stochastic predictors are not computed by PROC HPFENGINE before forecasting the dependent variable. In these cases, the PREDICT variable in the OUTFOR= data set is incorrectly set to missing ('.') or 'F'. The LOWER and UPPER variables are also incorrectly set to missing. No error or warning messages are printed.

To circumvent the problem, use PROC HPF or another procedure to forecast the stochastic input variable(s) to the end of the last known historical data point for the dependent variable prior to running PROC HPFENGINE.

This problem can also surface in SAS® Forecast Studio 3.1.

Click the Hot Fix tab in this note to access the hot fix for this issue.



Operating System and Release Information

Product FamilyProductSystemProduct ReleaseSAS Release
ReportedFixed*ReportedFixed*
SAS SystemSAS High-Performance ForecastingMicrosoft® Windows® for 64-Bit Itanium-based Systems3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter 64-bit Edition3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise 64-bit Edition3.1
Microsoft Windows XP 64-bit Edition3.1
Microsoft® Windows® for x643.1
Microsoft Windows 95/983.1
Microsoft Windows 2000 Advanced Server3.1
Microsoft Windows 2000 Datacenter Server3.1
Microsoft Windows 2000 Server3.1
Microsoft Windows 2000 Professional3.1
Microsoft Windows NT Workstation3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter Edition3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise Edition3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Standard Edition3.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 for x643.1
Microsoft Windows Server 20083.1
Microsoft Windows Server 2008 for x643.1
Microsoft Windows XP Professional3.1
Windows 7 Enterprise 32 bit3.1
Windows 7 Enterprise x643.1
Windows 7 Home Premium 32 bit3.1
Windows 7 Home Premium x643.1
Windows 7 Professional 32 bit3.1
Windows 7 Professional x643.1
Windows 7 Ultimate 32 bit3.1
Windows 7 Ultimate x643.1
Windows Millennium Edition (Me)3.1
Windows Vista3.1
Windows Vista for x643.1
64-bit Enabled AIX3.1
64-bit Enabled HP-UX3.1
64-bit Enabled Solaris3.1
HP-UX IPF3.1
Linux3.1
Linux for x643.1
OpenVMS on HP Integrity3.1
Solaris for x643.1
* For software releases that are not yet generally available, the Fixed Release is the software release in which the problem is planned to be fixed.