The TRANSREG Procedure

 

Example 93.4 Nonmetric Conjoint Analysis of Tire Data

This example uses PROC TRANSREG to perform a nonmetric conjoint analysis of tire preference data. Conjoint analysis decomposes rank-ordered evaluation judgments of products or services into components based on qualitative product attributes. For each level of each attribute of interest, a numerical "part-worth utility" value is computed. The sum of the part-worth utilities for each product is an estimate of the utility for that product. The goal is to compute part-worth utilities such that the product utilities are as similar as possible to the original rank ordering. (This example is a greatly simplified introductory example.)

The stimuli for the experiment are 18 hypothetical tires. The stimuli represent different brands (Goodstone, Pirogi, Machismo),1 prices ($69.99, $74.99, $79.99), expected tread life (50,000, 60,000, 70,000 miles), and road hazard insurance plans (Yes, No). There are possible combinations. From these, 18 combinations are selected that form an efficient experimental design for a main-effects model. The combinations are then ranked from 1 (most preferred) to 18 (least preferred). In this simple example, there is one set of rankings. A real conjoint study would have many more.

First, the FORMAT procedure is used to specify the meanings of the factor levels, which are entered as numbers in the DATA step along with the ranks. PROC TRANSREG is used to perform the conjoint analysis. A maximum of 50 iterations is requested. The specification monotone(Rank / reflect) in the MODEL statement requests that the dependent variable Rank should be monotonically transformed and reflected so that positive utilities mean high preference. The variables Brand, Price, Life, and Hazard are designated as CLASS variables, and the part-worth utilities are constrained by ZERO=SUM to sum to zero within each factor. The UTILITIES a-option displays the conjoint analysis results.

The importance column of the utilities table shows that price is the most important attribute in determining preference (57%), followed by expected tread life (18%), brand (15%), and road hazard insurance (10%). Looking at the utilities table for the maximum part-worth utility within each attribute, you see from the results that the most preferred combination is Pirogi brand tires, at $69.99, with a 70,000-mile expected tread life and road hazard insurance. This product is not actually in the data set. The sum of the part-worth utilities for this combination is as follows:

     

The following statements produce Output 93.4.1.

title 'Nonmetric Conjoint Analysis of Ranks';

proc format;
   value BrandF
              1 = 'Goodstone'
              2 = 'Pirogi   '
              3 = 'Machismo ';
   value PriceF
              1 = '$69.99'
              2 = '$74.99'
              3 = '$79.99';
   value LifeF
              1 = '50,000'
              2 = '60,000'
              3 = '70,000';
   value HazardF
              1 = 'Yes'
              2 = 'No ';
run;


data Tires;
   input Brand Price Life Hazard Rank;
   format Brand BrandF9. Price PriceF9. Life LifeF6. Hazard HazardF3.;
   datalines;
1 1 2 1  3
1 1 3 2  2
1 2 1 2 14
1 2 2 2 10
1 3 1 1 17
1 3 3 1 12
2 1 1 2  7
2 1 3 2  1
2 2 1 1  8
2 2 3 1  5
2 3 2 1 13
2 3 2 2 16
3 1 1 1  6
3 1 2 1  4
3 2 2 2 15
3 2 3 1  9
3 3 1 2 18
3 3 3 2 11
;
proc transreg maxiter=50 utilities short;
   ods select TestsNote ConvergenceStatus FitStatistics Utilities;
   model monotone(Rank / reflect) =
         class(Brand Price Life Hazard / zero=sum);
   output ireplace predicted;
run;

proc print label;
   var Rank TRank PRank Brand Price Life Hazard;
   label PRank = 'Predicted Ranks';
run;

Output 93.4.1 Simple Conjoint Analysis
Nonmetric Conjoint Analysis of Ranks

The TRANSREG Procedure

Monotone(Rank)
Algorithm converged.


The TRANSREG Procedure Hypothesis Tests for Monotone(Rank)

Root MSE 0.49759 R-Square 0.9949
Dependent Mean 9.50000 Adj R-Sq 0.9913
Coeff Var 5.23783    

Utilities Table Based on the Usual Degrees of Freedom
Label Utility Standard Error Importance
(% Utility
Range)
Variable
Intercept 9.5000 0.11728   Intercept
Brand Goodstone -1.1718 0.16586 15.463 Class.BrandGoodstone
Brand Pirogi 1.8980 0.16586   Class.BrandPirogi
Brand Machismo -0.7262 0.16586   Class.BrandMachismo
Price $69.99 5.8732 0.16586 56.517 Class.Price_69_99
Price $74.99 -0.5261 0.16586   Class.Price_74_99
Price $79.99 -5.3471 0.16586   Class.Price_79_99
Life 50,000 -1.2350 0.16586 18.361 Class.Life50_000
Life 60,000 -1.1751 0.16586   Class.Life60_000
Life 70,000 2.4101 0.16586   Class.Life70_000
Hazard Yes 0.9588 0.11728 9.659 Class.HazardYes
Hazard No -0.9588 0.11728   Class.HazardNo
The standard errors are not adjusted for the fact that the dependent variable was transformed and so are generally liberal (too small).

Nonmetric Conjoint Analysis of Ranks

Obs Rank Rank Transformation Predicted Ranks Brand Price Life Hazard
1 3 14.4462 13.9851 Goodstone $69.99 60,000 Yes
2 2 15.6844 15.6527 Goodstone $69.99 70,000 No
3 14 5.7229 5.6083 Goodstone $74.99 50,000 No
4 10 5.7229 5.6682 Goodstone $74.99 60,000 No
5 17 2.6699 2.7049 Goodstone $79.99 50,000 Yes
6 12 5.7229 6.3500 Goodstone $79.99 70,000 Yes
7 7 14.4462 15.0774 Pirogi $69.99 50,000 No
8 1 18.7699 18.7225 Pirogi $69.99 70,000 No
9 8 11.1143 10.5957 Pirogi $74.99 50,000 Yes
10 5 14.4462 14.2408 Pirogi $74.99 70,000 Yes
11 13 5.7229 5.8346 Pirogi $79.99 60,000 Yes
12 16 3.8884 3.9170 Pirogi $79.99 60,000 No
13 6 14.4462 14.3708 Machismo $69.99 50,000 Yes
14 4 14.4462 14.4307 Machismo $69.99 60,000 Yes
15 15 5.7229 6.1139 Machismo $74.99 60,000 No
16 9 11.1143 11.6166 Machismo $74.99 70,000 Yes
17 18 1.1905 1.2330 Machismo $79.99 50,000 No
18 11 5.7229 4.8780 Machismo $79.99 70,000 No