The RELIABILITY Procedure |

Lognormal Analysis with Arbitrary Censoring |

This example illustrates analyzing data that have more general censoring than in the previous example. The data can be a combination of exact failure times, left censored, right censored, and interval censored data. The intervals can be overlapping, unlike in the previous example, where the interval endpoints had to be the same for all units.

Table 12.2 shows data from Nelson (1982, p. 409), analyzed by Meeker and Escobar (1998, p. 135). Each of 435 turbine wheels was inspected once to determine whether a crack had developed in the wheel or not. The inspection time (in 100s of hours), the number inspected at the time that had cracked, and the number not cracked are shown in the table. The quantity of interest is the time for a crack to develop.

Inspection Time |
Number |
Number |
---|---|---|

(100 hours) |
Cracked |
Not Cracked |

4 |
0 |
39 |

10 |
4 |
49 |

14 |
2 |
31 |

18 |
7 |
66 |

22 |
5 |
25 |

26 |
9 |
30 |

30 |
9 |
33 |

34 |
6 |
7 |

38 |
22 |
12 |

42 |
21 |
19 |

46 |
21 |
15 |

These data consist only of left and right censored lifetimes. If a unit has developed a crack at an inspection time, the unit is left censored at the time; if a unit has not developed a crack, it is right censored at the time. For example, there are 4 left-censored lifetimes and 49 right-censored lifetimes at 1000 hours.

The following statements create a SAS data set named TURBINE that contains the data in the format necessary for analysis by the RELIABILITY procedure:

data turbine; label t1 = 'Time of Cracking (Hours x 100 )'; input t1 t2 f; datalines; . 4 0 4 . 39 . 10 4 10 . 49 . 14 2 14 . 31 . 18 7 18 . 66 . 22 5 22 . 25 . 26 9 26 . 30 . 30 9 30 . 33 . 34 6 34 . 7 . 38 22 38 . 12 . 42 21 42 . 19 . 46 21 46 . 15 ; run;

The variables T1 and T2 represent the inspection times and determine whether the observation is right or left censored. If T1 is missing (.), then T2 represents a left-censoring time; if T2 is missing, T1 represents a right-censoring time. The variable F is the number of units that were found to be cracked for left-censored observations, or not cracked for right-censored observations at an inspection time.

The following statements use the RELIABILITY procedure to produce the probability plot in Figure 12.15 for the data in the data set TURBINE:

proc reliability data = turbine; distribution lognormal; freq f; pplot ( t1 t2 ) / maxitem = 5000 ppout; run;

The DISTRIBUTION statement specifies that a lognormal probability plot be created. The FREQ statement identifies the frequency variable F. The option MAXITEM=5000 specifies that the iterative algorithm that computes the points on the probability plot takes a maximum of 5000 iterations. The algorithm does not converge for these data in the default 1000 iterations, so the maximum number of iterations needs to be increased for convergence. The option PPOUT specifies that a table of the cumulative probabilities plotted on the probability plot be printed, along with standard errors and confidence limits.

The tabular output for the maximum likelihood lognormal fit for these data is shown in Figure 12.16. Figure 12.15 shows the resulting lognormal probability plot with the computed cumulative probability estimates and the lognormal fit line.

Model Information | ||
---|---|---|

Input Data Set | WORK.TURBINE | |

Analysis Variable | t1 | Time of Cracking (Hours x 100 ) |

Analysis Variable | t2 | |

Frequency Variable | f | |

Distribution | Lognormal (Base e) | |

Estimation Method | Maximum Likelihood | |

Confidence Coefficient | 95% | |

Observations Used | 21 |

Cumulative Probability Estimates | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|

Lower Lifetime | Upper Lifetime | Cumulative Probability |
Pointwise 95% Confidence Limits |
Standard Error | |

Lower | Upper | ||||

. | 4 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 |

10 | 10 | 0.0698 | 0.0264 | 0.1720 | 0.0337 |

14 | 14 | 0.0698 | 0.0177 | 0.2384 | 0.0473 |

18 | 18 | 0.0959 | 0.0464 | 0.1878 | 0.0345 |

22 | 22 | 0.1667 | 0.0711 | 0.3432 | 0.0680 |

26 | 26 | 0.2222 | 0.1195 | 0.3757 | 0.0657 |

30 | 30 | 0.2222 | 0.1203 | 0.3738 | 0.0650 |

34 | 34 | 0.4615 | 0.2236 | 0.7184 | 0.1383 |

38 | 38 | 0.5809 | 0.4085 | 0.7356 | 0.0865 |

42 | 42 | 0.5809 | 0.4280 | 0.7198 | 0.0766 |

46 | 46 | 0.5836 | 0.4195 | 0.7311 | 0.0822 |

Summary of Fit | |
---|---|

Observations Used | 21 |

Uncensored Values | 0 |

Right Censored Values | 326 |

Left Censored Values | 106 |

Maximum Loglikelihood | -190.7315 |

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