Language Reference
ARMASIM Function
ARMASIM (phi, theta, mu, sigma, n <, seed> );
The ARMASIM function simulates a univariate series from a autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model.
The arguments to the ARMASIM function are as follows:
- phi
-
is a
matrix that contains the autoregressive parameters. The first element is assumed to have the value 1.
- theta
-
is a
matrix that contains the moving average parameters. The first element is assumed to have the value 1.
- mu
-
is a scalar that contains the overall mean of the series.
- sigma
-
is a scalar that contains the standard deviation of the innovation series.
- n
-
is a scalar that contains n, the length of the series. The value of n must be greater than 0.
- seed
-
is a scalar that contains the random number seed. At the first execution of the function, the seed variable is used as follows:
-
If seed > 0, the input seed is used for generating the series.
-
If seed = 0, the system clock is used to generate the seed.
-
If seed < 0, the value –seed is used for generating the series.
If the seed is not supplied, the system clock is used to generate the seed.
On subsequent calls to the function, the seed variable is used as follows:
-
If seed > 0, the seed remains unchanged.
-
In other cases, after each execution of the function, the current seed is updated internally.
-
The ARMASIM function generates a series of length n from a given autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series model and returns the series in an 
matrix. The notational conventions for the ARMASIM function are the same as those used by the ARMACOV subroutine. See the
description of the ARMACOV call
for the model employed. The ARMASIM function uses an exact simulation algorithm as described in Woodfield (1988). A sequence 
of starting values is produced by using an expanded covariance matrix, and then the remaining values are generated by using
the following recursion form of the model:
![\[ Y_ t = -\sum _{i=1}^ p \phi _ i Y_{t-i} + \epsilon _ t + \sum _{i=1}^ q \theta _ i \epsilon _{t-i} ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ t = p+q, ~ p+q+1,\ldots , ~ n-1 \]](images/imlug_langref0095.png)
The random number generator RANNOR is used to generate the noise component of the model. Note that the following statement returns n standard normal pseudorandom deviates:
y = armasim(1, 1, 0, 1, n, seed);
For example, consider the following model:
![\[ y_ t = 0.5y_{t-1} + e_ t + 0.8e_{t-1} \]](images/imlug_langref0096.png)
To generate a time series of length 10 from this model, use the following statements to produce the result shown in Figure 25.48:
phi = {1 -0.5};
theta = {1 0.8};
y = armasim(phi, theta, 0, 1, 10, -1234321);
print y;
Figure 25.48: Simulated Time Series