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Problem Note 66989: An ESMBEST model is chosen in SAS® Visual Forecasting when another model would perform better

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In SAS Visual Forecasting, an ESMBEST model might be chosen as the champion model for one or more series of data, even though another model might perform better. The following modeling strategies are impacted by this issue:

  • Auto-forecasting
  • Hierarchical Forecasting
  • Hierarchical Forecasting (pluggable) 
  • Multistage Model
  • Naive Model 
  • Time Series Regression
  • Seasonal Model
  • Temporal Aggregation Model

The problem might occur when series that contain only zero values are processed.

Click the Hot Fix tab in this note for a link to instructions about accessing and applying the software update.



Operating System and Release Information

Product FamilyProductSystemProduct ReleaseSAS Release
ReportedFixed*ReportedFixed*
SAS SystemSAS Visual ForecastingLinux for x648.42020.1ViyaViya
* For software releases that are not yet generally available, the Fixed Release is the software release in which the problem is planned to be fixed.