SUPPORT / SAMPLES & SAS NOTES
 

Support

Problem Note 42451: Division by zero can cause failure of VaR sensitivity calculations and parameter variance confidence intervals

DetailsHotfixAboutRate It
In SAS® OpRisk VaR 4.2 when simulating a severity distribution that contains KRIs, the forecasted values of the KRIs can become very large, so that the simulated losses exceed the maximum loss. In this case, the distribution of simulated losses is a point mass at the maximum loss, and the following calculations fail:

  • Parameter-variance confidence intervals
  • VaR sensitivities to the parameters
  • VaR sensitivities to the KRIs
When this condition occurs, messages like the following are reported in the SAS log:
NOTE: Division by zero detected at line XXX at column YY
ERROR: The conf_interval macro ended abnormally.

If this condition occurs, it is evidence that the severity model with the KRIs is not a reasonable model, and users are encouraged to closely examine the included KRIs, the KRI parameter estimates, and the forecasted values of the KRIs.

There are no workarounds.

Click the Hot Fix tab in this note to access the hot fix for this issue.



Operating System and Release Information

Product FamilyProductSystemProduct ReleaseSAS Release
ReportedFixed*ReportedFixed*
SAS SystemSAS OpRisk VaRMicrosoft® Windows® for 64-Bit Itanium-based Systems4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter 64-bit Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise 64-bit Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows XP 64-bit Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft® Windows® for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Standard Edition4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 20084.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows Server 2008 for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Microsoft Windows XP Professional4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Enterprise 32 bit4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Enterprise x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Home Premium 32 bit4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Home Premium x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Professional 32 bit4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Professional x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Ultimate 32 bit4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows 7 Ultimate x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows Vista4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Windows Vista for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
64-bit Enabled AIX4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
64-bit Enabled HP-UX4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
64-bit Enabled Solaris4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
HP-UX IPF4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Linux4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Linux for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Linux on Itanium4.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
Solaris for x644.24.219.2 TS2M39.3 TS1M0
* For software releases that are not yet generally available, the Fixed Release is the software release in which the problem is planned to be fixed.