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Problem Note 36217: Forecasts fail for time series with only one nonmissing observation

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If a series has only a single non-missing observation in the historical data range, then Forecast Studio indicates that the forecasts fail and all of the forecasts are set to missing for that series. If this series is part of a hierarchy and reconciliations are requested for the hierarchy, then the missing forecasts could result in missing values for other levels of the hierarchy.

This behavior occurs only if hotfix 21FOS01 for Forecast Server 2.1 and hotfix E9HP04 for SAS High-Performance Forecasting have been applied. If these hotfixes are not applied to the system, then the single known value for the series is used as the forecast.

To circumvent the problem, ensure that the data set being analyzed by Forecast Server has at least two non-missing values for each time series.



Operating System and Release Information

Product FamilyProductSystemProduct ReleaseSAS Release
ReportedFixed*ReportedFixed*
SAS SystemSAS Forecast ServerMicrosoft® Windows® for 64-Bit Itanium-based Systems2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter 64-bit Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise 64-bit Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows XP 64-bit Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows 2000 Advanced Server2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows 2000 Datacenter Server2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows 2000 Server2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows 2000 Professional2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows NT Workstation2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Datacenter Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Enterprise Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows Server 2003 Standard Edition2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Microsoft Windows XP Professional2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Windows Vista2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
64-bit Enabled AIX2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
64-bit Enabled HP-UX2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
64-bit Enabled Solaris2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
HP-UX IPF2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
Linux2.19.1 TS1M3 SP4
* For software releases that are not yet generally available, the Fixed Release is the software release in which the problem is planned to be fixed.