Probability Distributions

This section describes the probability distributions available in the RELIABILITY procedure for probability plotting and parameter estimation.

PROBPLOT and RELATIONPLOT Statements

Probability plots can be constructed for each of the probability distributions in Table 14.51. For all distributions other than the three-parameter Weibull, estimates of two distribution parameters (location and scale or scale and shape) are computed by maximum likelihood or by least squares fitted to points on the probability plot. If one of the parameters is specified as fixed, the other is estimated. In addition, you can specify a fixed threshold, or shift, parameter for those distributions for which a threshold parameter is indicated in Table 14.51. If you do not specify a threshold parameter, the threshold is set to 0.

For the three-parameter Weibull distribution described in Table 14.51, the scale, shape, and threshold parameters are estimated by maximum likelihood.

You should not interpret the parameters and as representing the means and standard deviations for all of the distributions in Table 14.51. The normal is the only distribution in Table 14.51 for which this is the case.

Table 14.51 Distributions and Parameters for PROBPLOT and RELATIONPLOT Statements
   

Parameters

Distribution

Density Function

Location

Scale

Shape

Threshold

Normal

   

Lognormal

 

Lognormal

 

(base 10)

         

Extreme value

   

Weibull

 

Exponential

 

 

Logistic

   

Log-logistic

 

Three-parameter Weibull

 

The exponential distribution shown in Table 14.51 is a special case of the Weibull distribution with . The remaining distributions in Table 14.51 are related to one another as shown in Table 14.52. The threshold parameter, , is assumed to be 0 in Table 14.52.

Table 14.52 Relationship among Life Distributions

Distribution of T

Parameters

Distribution of Y=T

Parameters

Lognormal

Normal

Weibull

Extreme value

Log-logistic

Logistic

MODEL Statement

All of the distributions in Table 14.51 except the three-parameter Weibull are available for regression model estimation by using the MODEL statement. In addition, you can fit regression models with the generalized gamma distribution with the following probability density function :

     

If a lifetime has the generalized gamma distribution, then the logarithm of the lifetime has the generalized log-gamma distribution, with the following probability density function . When the gamma distribution is specified, the logarithms of the lifetimes are used as responses, and the generalized log-gamma distribution is used to estimate the parameters by maximum likelihood.

     

See Lawless (2003) and Meeker and Escobar (1998) for a description of the generalized gamma and generalized log-gamma distributions.

When , the generalized log-gamma distribution reduces to the extreme value distribution with parameters and . In this case, the log lifetimes have the extreme value distribution, or, equivalently, the lifetimes have the Weibull distribution with parameters and . When , the generalized log-gamma reduces to the normal distribution with parameters and . In this case, the (unlogged) lifetimes have the lognormal distribution with parameters and . This chapter uses the notation for the location, for the scale, and for the shape parameters for the generalized log-gamma distribution.

ANALYZE Statement

You can use the ANALYZE statement to compute parameter estimates and other statistics for the distributions in Table 14.51. In addition, you can compute estimates for the binomial and Poisson distributions. The forms of these distributions are shown in Table 14.53.

Table 14.53 Binomial and Poisson Distributions

Distribution

Pr{Y=y}

Parameter

Parameter Name

Binomial

binomial probability

Poisson

Poisson mean