SSM Procedure

(Experimental)

The following features have been added to the SSM procedure:

  • A trend component that satisfies a two-factor (nonseasonal and seasonal) ARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s model can be specified.

  • A state subsection that satisfies a first-order, vector ARMA model—VARMA(p,q) with $0 \leq p \leq 1$ and $0 \leq q \leq 1$—can be specified.

  • Diagnostic plots are available for residual analysis and structural break analysis.

  • New printing options enable printing of series and component forecasts and smoothed estimates. In addition, you can print estimated system matrices.

  • A table that identifies extreme additive outliers is printed. Additionally, structural breaks that are associated with state shocks can also be printed.

  • A new option, MATCHPARM, in the TREND statement simplifies parameter specification when the CROSS= option is specified.

  • New options enable finer control over the nonlinear optimization of the likelihood in the parameter estimation phase.