In the Time Series Viewer window position the mouse over the highest point in 1981 and select the point. This displays the data value, 19425, and date, February 1981, of that point in the upper-right corner of the Time Series Viewer, as shown in Figure 49.16.
Figure 49.16: Identifying the Turning Point
Now that you know the date that the trend reversal occurred, enter that date in the Date
field of the Intervention Specification window. Select Ramp
as the type of intervention. The window should now appear as shown in Figure 49.17.
Figure 49.17: Ramp Intervention Specified
Select the OK
button. This adds the intervention to the list of interventions for the PETROL series, and returns you to the Interventions for Series
window, as shown in Figure 49.18.
Figure 49.18: Interventions for Series Window
This window allows you to select interventions for inclusion in the forecasting model. Since you need to define other interventions,
select the Add
button. This returns you to the Intervention Specification window (shown in Figure 49.15).