Example 27.1 Accumulating Transactional Data into Time Series Data

This example illustrates using the TIMESERIES procedure to accumalate time-stamped transactional data that has been recorded at no particular frequency into time series data at a specific frequency. After the time series is created, the various SAS/ETS procedures related to time series analysis, seasonal adjustment/decomposition, modeling, and forecasting can be used to further analyze the time series data.

Suppose that the input data set WORK.RETAIL contains variables STORE and TIMESTAMP and numerous other numeric transaction variables. The BY variable STORE contains values that break up the transactions into groups (BY groups). The time ID variable TIMESTAMP contains SAS date values recorded at no particular frequency. The other data set variables contain the numeric transaction values to be analyzed. It is further assumed that the input data set is sorted by the variables STORE and TIMESTAMP. The following statements form monthly time series from the transactional data based on the median value (ACCUMULATE=MEDIAN) of the transactions recorded with each time period. Also, the accumulated time series values for time periods with no transactions are set to zero instead of to missing (SETMISS=0) and only transactions recorded between the first day of 1998 (START=’01JAN1998’D ) and last day of 2000 (END=’31JAN2000’D) are considered and, if needed, extended to include this range.

   proc timeseries data=retail out=mseries;
      by store;
      id timestamp interval=month
                   accumulate=median
                   setmiss=0
                   start='01jan1998'd
                   end  ='31dec2000'd;
      var _numeric_;
   run;

The monthly time series data are stored in the data WORK.MSERIES. Each BY group associated with the BY variable STORE contains an observation for each of the 36 months associated with the years 1998, 1999, and 2000. Each observation contains the variable STORE, TIMESTAMP, and each of the analysis variables in the input data set.

After each set of transactions has been accumulated to form corresponding time series, accumulated time series can be analyzed using various time series analysis techniques. For example, exponentially weighted moving averages can be used to smooth each series. The following statements use the EXPAND procedure to smooth the analysis variable named STOREITEM.

   proc expand data=mseries out=smoothed from=month;
      by store;
      id date;
      convert storeitem=smooth / transform=(ewma 0.1);
   run;

The smoothed series are stored in the data set WORK.SMOOTHED. The variable SMOOTH contains the smoothed series.

If the time ID variable TIMESTAMP contains SAS datetime values instead of SAS date values, the INTERVAL=, START=, and END= options must be changed accordingly and the following statements could be used:

   proc timeseries data=retail out=tseries;
      by store;
      id timestamp interval=dtmonth
                   accumulate=median
                   setmiss=0
                   start='01jan1998:00:00:00'dt
                   end  ='31dec2000:00:00:00'dt;
      var _numeric_;
   run;

The monthly time series data are stored in the data WORK.TSERIES, and the time ID values use a SAS datetime representation.