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The LIFETEST Procedure

Pointwise Confidence Limits in the OUTSURV= Data Set

Pointwise confidence limits are computed for the survivor function, and for the density function and hazard function when the life-table method is used. Let be specified by the ALPHA= option. Let be the critical value for the standard normal distribution. That is, , where is the cumulative distribution function of the standard normal random variable.

Survivor Function

When the computation of confidence limits for the survivor function is based on the asymptotic normality of the survival estimator , the approximate confidence interval might include impossible values outside the range [0,1] at extreme values of . This problem can be avoided by applying the asymptotic normality to a transformation of for which the range is unrestricted. In addition, certain transformed confidence intervals for perform better than the usual linear confidence intervals (Borgan and Liestøl; 1990). The CONFTYPE= option enables you to pick one of the following transformations: the log-log function (Kalbfleisch and Prentice; 1980), the arcsine-square root function (Nair; 1984), the logit function (Meeker and Escobar; 1998), the log function, and the linear function.

Let be the transformation that is being applied to the survivor function . By the delta method, the standard error of is estimated by

     

where is the first derivative of the function . The 100(1–)% confidence interval for is given by

     

where is the inverse function of .

Arcsine-Square Root Transformation

The estimated variance of is The 100(1–)% confidence interval for is given by

     
Linear Transformation

This is the same as having no transformation in which is the identity. The 100(1–)% confidence interval for is given by

     
Log Transformation

The estimated variance of is The 100(1–)% confidence interval for is given by

     
Log-Log Transformation

The estimated variance of is The 100(1–)% confidence interval for is given by

     
Logit Transformation

The estimated variance of is The 100(1–)% confidence limits for are given by

     

Density and Hazard Functions

For the life-table method, a 100(1–)% confidence interval for hazard function or density function at time is computed as

     

where is the estimate of either the hazard function or the density function at time , and is the corresponding standard error estimate.

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