Menu Bar

File
New Project

opens a dialog that lets you create a new project, assign it a name and description, and make it the active project.

Open Project

opens a dialog that lets you select and load a previously saved project.

Save Project

saves the current state of the system (including all the models fit to a series) to the current project catalog entry.

Save Project as

saves the current state of the system with a prompt for the name of the catalog entry in which to store the information.

Clear Project

clears the system, deleting all the models for all series.

Save Forecast

writes forecasts from the currently highlighted model to an output data set.

Save Forecast As

prompts for an output data set name and saves the forecasts from the currently highlighted model.

Output Forecast Data Set

opens a dialog for specifying the default data set used when you select Save Forecast.

Import Data

is available if you license SAS/Access software. It opens an Import Wizard, which you can use to import your data from an external spreadsheet or data base to a SAS data set for use in the Time Series Forecasting System.

Export Data

is available if you license SAS/Access software. It opens an Export Wizard, which you can use to export a SAS data set, such as a forecast data set created with the Time Series Forecasting System, to an external spreadsheet or data base.

Print Setup

opens the Print Setup window, which enables you to access your operating system print setup.

Close

closes the Develop Models window and returns to the main window.

Edit
Fit Model
Automatic Fit

invokes the automatic model selection process.

Select From List

opens the Models to Fit window.

Smoothing Model

opens the Smoothing Model Specification window.

ARIMA Model

opens the ARIMA Model Specification window.

Custom Model

opens the Custom Model Specification window.

Combine Forecasts

opens the Forecast Combination Model Specification window.

External Forecasts

opens the External Forecast Model Specification window.

Edit Model

enables you to modify the specification of the currently highlighted model in the table and fit the modified model. The new model replaces the current model in the table.

Delete Model

deletes the currently highlighted model from the model table.

Refit Models
All Models

refits all models in the table by using data within the current fit range.

Selected Model

refits the currently highlighted model by using data within the current fit range.

Reevaluate Models
All Models

recomputes statistics of fit for all models in the table by using data within the current evaluation range.

Selected Model

recomputes statistics of fit for the currently highlighted model by using data within the current evaluation range.

View
Project

opens the Manage Forecasting Project window.

Data Set

opens a Viewtable window to display the current input data set.

Series

opens the Time Series Viewer window to display plots of the current series. This is the same as the View Series Graphically icon.

Model Predictions

opens the Model Viewer to display a predicted versus actual plot for the currently highlighted model. This is the same as the View Selected Model Graphically icon.

Prediction Errors

opens the Model Viewer to display the prediction errors for the currently highlighted model.

Prediction Error Autocorrelations

opens the Model Viewer to display the prediction error autocorrelations, partial autocorrelations, and inverse autocorrelations for the currently highlighted model.

Prediction Error Tests

opens the Model Viewer to display graphs of white noise and stationarity tests on the prediction errors of the currently highlighted model.

Parameter Estimates

opens the Model Viewer to display the parameter estimates table for the currently highlighted model.

Statistics of Fit

opens the Model Viewer window to display goodness-of-fit statistics for the currently highlighted model.

Forecast Graph

opens the Model Viewer to graph the forecasts for the currently highlighted model.

Forecast Table

opens the Model Viewer to display forecasts for the currently highlighted model in a table.

Tools
Diagnose Series

opens the Series Diagnostics window to determine the kinds of forecasting models appropriate for the current series.

Define Interventions

opens the Interventions for Series window to enable you to edit or add intervention effects for use in modeling the current series.

Sort Models

sorts the models in the table by the values of the currently displayed fit statistic.

Compare Models

opens the Model Fit Comparison window to display fit statistics for selected pairs of forecasting models. This is unavailable if there are fewer than two models in the table.

Generate Data

opens the Time Series Simulation window. This window enables you to simulate ARIMA time series processes and is useful for educational exercises or testing the system.

Options
Time Ranges

opens the Time Ranges Specification window to enable you to change the fit and evaluation time ranges and the forecast horizon. This action is the same as the Set Ranges button.

Default Time Ranges

opens the Default Time Ranges window to enable you to control how the system sets the time ranges for series when you do not explicitly set time ranges with the Time Ranges Specification window. Settings made by using this window do not affect series you are already working with; they take effect when you select a new series.

Model Selection List

opens the Model Selection List editor window. Use this action to edit the set of forecasting models considered by the automatic model selection process and displayed by the Models to Fit window.

Model Selection Criterion

opens the Model Selection Criterion window, which presents a list of goodness-of-fit statistics and enables you to select the fit statistic that is displayed in the table and used by the automatic model selection process to determine the best fitting model. This action is the same as clicking the button above the table which displays the name of the current model selection criterion.

Statistics of Fit

opens the Statistics of Fit Selection window, which presents a list of statistics that the system can display. Use this action to customize the list of statistics shown in the Model Viewer, Automatic Model Fitting Results, and Model Fit Comparison windows and available for selection in the Model Selection Criterion menu.

Forecast Options

opens the Forecast Options window, which enables you to control the widths of forecast confidence limits and control the kind of predicted values computed for models that include series transformations.

Alignment of Dates

Beginning

aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the beginning of the time intervals.

Middle

aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the midpoints of the time intervals.

End

aligns dates that the system generates to identify forecast observations in output data sets to the end of the time intervals.

Automatic Fit

opens the Automatic Model Selection Options window, which enables you to control the number of models retained by the automatic model selection process and whether the models considered for automatic selection are subset according to the series diagnostics.

Include Interventions

controls whether intervention effects defined for the current series are automatically added as predictors to the models considered by the automatic selection process and displayed by the Models to Fit window. When the Include Interventions option is selected, the series interventions are also automatically added to the predictors list when you specify a model in the ARIMA and Custom Models Specification windows. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates that the option is turned on.

Print Audit Trail

prints to the SAS log information about the models fit by the system. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates that the audit option is turned on.

Show Source Statements

Controls whether SAS statements submitted by the forecasting system are printed in the SAS log. When the Show Source Statements option is selected, the system sets the SAS system option SOURCE before submitting SAS statements; otherwise, the system uses the NOSOURCE option. Note that only some of the functions performed by the forecasting system are accomplished by submitting SAS statements. A check mark or filled check box next to this item indicates that the option is turned on.